Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3914 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

OO 3914 · BIS → MSP

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:31 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day

↓ BIS usually runs smoothly

↓ 5am departures from BIS are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3914 · BIS → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?