Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3970 · MSP → FAR
departs 1:12 PM CT · arrives 2:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Arrivals into FAR at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at FAR that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.