Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4130 · MSP → MOT
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 4:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MOT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MOT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MOT?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
MOT (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.