Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4147
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4147 · MSP → YWG
departs 3:13 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CDT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at YWG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YWG?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YWG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
YWG (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.