Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4229
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4229 · HIB → MSP
departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 12:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HIB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
HIB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HIB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.37 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.