Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4229
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4229 · MSP → HIB
departs 9:10 AM CT · arrives 10:16 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 12%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at HIB more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HIB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at HIB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HIB?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HIB that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into HIB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
HIB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.