Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4238
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4238 · ABR → MSP
departs 6:34 AM CT · arrives 7:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave ABR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Other factors
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ABR are usually not late
Weather at each end
ABR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.