Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4262
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4262 · MSP → ABR
departs 1:00 PM CT · arrives 2:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABR more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ABR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABR?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
1pm departures from MSP are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ABR that day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
ABR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.