Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4278 LANDED 7:11 PM ET, ~17 MIN EARLY

Wednesday, October 28 Today

OO 4278 · DTW → CIU

took off 6:22 PM ET · landed 7:11 PM ET (scheduled 6:15 PM ET → 7:32 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CIU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CIU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

CIU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4278 · DTW → CIU

Odds over time

How late did it get to CIU?