Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4912
SCHEDULED
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 4912 · ORD → GRR
departs 1:14 PM CT · arrives 3:18 PM ET
Your aircraft is N761ND (CRJ7), coming in as OO 6473 from PIT: in the air, landing about 2:02 PM CT, 64 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 38%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 140 min after the scheduled departure, about 118 min late from the gate after a typical 22-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 20%.
+4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 140 min after the scheduled departure, about 118 min late from the gate after a typical 22-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 25%.
+4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 140 min after the scheduled departure, about 118 min late from the gate after a typical 22-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 5%.
+0 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GRR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.