OO 5228 · ORD → LNK

took off 7:26 PM CT · expected to land 8:37 PM CT (scheduled 4:46 PM CT → 6:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LNK?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
90%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LNK (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5228 · ORD → LNK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNK?