Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5228 · ORD → LNK
departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 42%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at LNK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LNK?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LNK that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LNK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3.33333 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.