OO 6230 · DSM → LAX

took off 8:36 PM CT · expected to land 10:08 PM PT (scheduled 7:24 PM CT → 9:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
76%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DSM that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling4,914 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6230 · DSM → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?