OO 6500 · DFW → SAF

took off 1:57 PM CT · expected to land 2:13 PM MT (scheduled 1:40 PM CT → 2:32 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAF?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SAF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6500 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?