OO 6500 · DFW → SAF

departs 1:42 PM CT · arrives 2:35 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAF (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6500 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?