Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5836
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
PT 5836 · CLT → AGS
departs 10:50 PM ET · arrives 11:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AGS more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AGS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at AGS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AGS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AGS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.