Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
PT 5889 · CLT → FWA
departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 10:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FWA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.