QX 2002 · ANC → OME

departs 7:15 AM AKT · arrives 9:10 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OME?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at OME that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ANC is prone to delays

↓ OME usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OME (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2002 · ANC → OME

Odds over time

How late will it get to OME?