Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2002 · ANC → OME
departs 7:19 AM AKT · arrives 9:12 AM AKDT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at OME more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to OME?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at OME that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from ANC are usually not late
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
OME (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.