QX 2002 · OME → ANC

departs 9:35 AM AKDT · arrives 11:27 AM AKT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OME that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ OME usually runs smoothly

↓ 9am departures from OME are usually not late

Weather at each end

OME (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip0.91 in

ANC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2002 · OME → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?