Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2002 · OME → ANC
departs 9:37 AM AKDT · arrives 11:29 AM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28 24%
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave OME more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at OME that day
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
ANC usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from OME are usually not late
Weather at each end
OME (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip 0.07 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.