Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3040 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

SY 3040 · RIC → CVG

departs 8:42 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3040 · RIC → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?