Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3040 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

SY 3040 · RIC → CVG

departs 8:41 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into CVG at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3040 · RIC → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?