VB 670 · MTY → SAT

departs 8:41 AM CST · arrives 11:01 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MTY is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 670 · MTY → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?