Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 670 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

VB 670 · MTY → SAT

departs 8:45 AM CST · arrives 11:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SAT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 670 · MTY → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?