WN 2686 · BUR → DEN

took off 1:50 PM PT · landed 4:36 PM MT (scheduled 1:48 PM PT → 5:00 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from BUR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2686 · BUR → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?