Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 3076 · MSP → DEN
departs 6:29 PM CT · arrives 7:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 32%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.