Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 318 · MCO → CUN
departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 2:44 PM EST
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at CUN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CUN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CUN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
CUN (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.