Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4866 SCHEDULED
Today

WN 4866 · SAN → OAK

departs 7:16 PM PT · arrives 8:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OAK?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.