WN 4940 · SJC → LAX

took off 12:41 PM PT · landed 1:33 PM PT (scheduled 12:06 PM PT → 1:21 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4940 · SJC → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?