WN 630 · SNA → SJD

took off 9:58 AM PT · landed 12:02 PM MST (scheduled 9:51 AM PT → 12:05 PM MST)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Arrivals into SJD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 630 · SNA → SJD

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJD?