Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1486
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WS 1486 · YEG → LAS
departs 1:36 PM MDT · arrives 3:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 3.4 in of snow forecast at YEG that day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YEG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.05 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.