Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1486
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
WS 1486 · YEG → LAS
departs 1:35 PM MDT · arrives 4:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28 51%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YEG that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
1pm departures from YEG are usually not late
Weather at each end
YEG (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.