Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4913 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

9E 4913 · DSM → MSP

departs 7:53 PM CT · arrives 9:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from DSM are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4913 · DSM → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?