Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5055 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

9E 5055 · MSP → STL

departs 9:57 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.04 in

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5055 · MSP → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?