Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5345 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

9E 5345 · DTW → DSM

departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 5:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DSM at that hour are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DSM (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5345 · DTW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?