tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1170 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 1170 · DFW → COS

departs 2:09 PM CT · arrives 3:19 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±5 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to COS?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.