AA 1288 · DFW → PVR

departs 1:16 PM CT · arrives 3:10 PM CST

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVR?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into PVR at that hour are usually not late

↓ PVR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVR (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1288 · DFW → PVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVR?