Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1775 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AA 1775 · CLT → RIC

departs 6:59 AM ET · arrives 8:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1775 · CLT → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?