AA 1790 · CLT → MEM

departs 1:07 PM ET · arrives 2:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

↓ Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1790 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?