tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2217 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2217 · AUA → MIA

departs 5:12 PM AST · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.