tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2250 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2250 · MIA → NAS

departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 6:15 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NAS?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.