Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AA 2419 · MIA → PUJ

departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 12:57 PM AST

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at PUJ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PUJ?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Arrivals into PUJ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PUJ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2419 · MIA → PUJ

Odds over time

How late will it get to PUJ?