AA 2704 · CLT → RDU

departs 2:34 PM ET · arrives 3:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2704 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?