Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2898 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Today

AA 2898 · CLT → ALB

departs 4:11 PM ET · arrives 6:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ALB (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2898 · CLT → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?