AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

departs 5:07 PM ET · arrives 6:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at CHS that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3117 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?