AA 3193 · CLT → MKE

departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at CLT that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3193 · CLT → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?