Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3328 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

AA 3328 · CLT → SRQ

departs 11:13 AM ET · arrives 1:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3328 · CLT → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?