tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 472 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 472 · DFW → DCA

departs 5:53 PM CT · arrives 10:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.