AA 979 · DFW → RDU

took off 7:29 PM CT · landed 10:31 PM ET (scheduled 5:43 PM CT → 9:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

RDU (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 979 · DFW → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?